Other researchers have tried to propose combined models that combine different explanations. The spatial theory of the vote postulates that the electoral choice is made in the maximization of individual utility. The main explanatory factors have been sought in socio-economic status and socio-demographic variables such as "age," "gender," and "education. the earlier Columbia studies, the Michigan election studies were based upon national survey samples. These theories are the retrospective voting theories and the theories of ideological space. Cambridge New York: Cambridge University Press, 1999. So there is this empirical anomaly where there is a theory that presupposes and tries to explain the electoral choices but also the positions of the parties in a logic of proximity to the centre of the political spectrum, but on the other hand there is the empirical observation that is the opposite and that sees parties and voters located elsewhere. The psycho-sociological model has its roots in Campell's work entitled The American Voter publi en 1960. It can be defined as lasting feelings of attachment that individuals develop towards a certain party. Voting is an instrument that serves us to achieve an objective. The theoretical account of voting behavior drew heavily upon the metaphor of a 'funnel of causality'. The individual is subjectivity at the centre of the analysis. The voters choose the candidate whose positions will match their preferences. Discounting is saying that the voter does not fully believe what the parties say. This is related to its variation in space and time. The reference work is The People's Choice published in 1948 by Lazarsfeld, Berelson and Gaudet. His conclusion is that the vote is explained both by elements of leadership, partly by an element of proximity and distance, but also, for some parties, it must also be taken into account that there are parties that act according to a mobilization of the electorate according to the approach of Przeworski and Sprague. The theory of the economic model of the vote is also a model that allows predictions to be made about party behaviour. xb```f`` @f8F F'-pWs$I*Xe< *AA[;;8:::X"$C[6#,bH.vdM?2Zr@ ai,L it is easier to change parties from one election to the next; a phase of realignment (3), which consists of creating new partisan loyalties. Voting for a party and continuing to vote for such a party repeatedly makes it possible to develop an identification with that party which, in a way, then reinforces the electoral choice. emotional ties between voters and parties; a phase of political misalignment (2), which may be the one we are currently in in Europe since the economic crisis, which is a weakening of partisan loyalties resulting in increased electoral volatility, i.e. Inking and the role of socialization cause individuals to form a certain partisan identification that produces certain types of political attitudes. A third criticism of the simple proximity model is the idea of the median voter, which is the idea that all voters group around the centre, so parties, based on this observation, will maximize their electoral support at the centre, and therefore if they are rational, parties will tend to be located more at the centre. 43 17 135150. Four questions can be asked in relation to this measure: For the first question, there are several studies on the fact that partisan identification is multi-dimensional and not just one-dimensional. Proximity can be calculated on the basis of the programmes and actual positions declared by the parties or on the basis of a discount factor, a perception factor or a difference factor according to the discount model. There are different strategies that are studied in the literature. Thus, they were well suited not only to develop and test theories of voting behavior, but also to provide an historical record of the considerations shaping the outcomes of specific national elections. These explanations are known as the Columbia Model and the Michigan Model, and describing these two . Spatial theories of voting are nothing other than what we have seen so far with regard to the economic model of voting. On the other hand, ideologically extreme voters try to influence party policies through party activism (voice). We must also, and above all, look at the links between types of factors. the difference in the cost-benefit ratio that different parties give. Today, when we see regression analyses of electoral choice, we will always find among the control variables social status variables, a religion variable and a variable related to place of residence. The organization is in crisis and no longer reflects our own needs. What we are interested in is on the demand side, how can we explain voters' electoral choice. There is a kind of heterogeneity of voters. It has often been emphasized that this model and approach raises more questions than answers. The basic assumption is that voters decide primarily on the basis of ideologies and not on the basis of specific positions on issues. The goal of this study was to evaluate the psychometric properties of the measurement of suicide severity based on the Columbia suicide severity rating scale. 0000000636 00000 n The personality model highlights the importance of childhood experiences for political behavior and belief in adulthood; the sociological model highlights the importance of primary and interest . These are voters who proceed by systematic voting. We see the kinship of this model with the sociological model explaining that often they are put together. In other words, in this retrospective assessment, the economic situation of the country plays a crucial role. What determines direction? Today, there is an attempt to combine the different explanations trying to take into account, both sociological determinants but also the emotional and affective component as well as the component related to choice and calculation. The initial formulation of the model is based on the Downs theory in An Economic Theory of Democracy publi en 1957. It is the state of the economy that will decide who will win the election or not. The idea was that there were two possible responses that are put in place by members of that organization: one of "exit", to withdraw, to go to another organization. A corollary to this theory is that voters react more to the government than to the opposition because performance is evaluated and a certain state of the economy, for example, can be attributed to the performance of a government. There are several reasons that the authors of these directional models cite to explain this choice of direction with intensity rather than a choice of proximity as proposed by Downs. This is an alternative way which is another answer to the question of how to evaluate the position of different parties and candidates. In Person: 971 W Duval St. Ste. If you experience any difficulty accessing any part of this website, please call (386) 758-1026 or email [email protected] for further assistance. How was that measured? They try to elaborate a bit and find out empirically how this happens. changes in voting behaviour from one election to the next. One possible strategy to reduce costs is to base oneself on ideology. There are also intermediate variables that relate to loyalties to a certain group or sense of belonging. These are models that should make us attentive to the different motivations that voters may or may not have to make in making an electoral choice. The utility function of this model is modified compared to the simple model, i.e. The importance of symbols lies in what arouses emotions. Lazarsfeld was interested in this and simply, empirically, he found that these other factors had less explanatory weight than the factors related to political predisposition and therefore to this social inking. When we talk about the Downs model, we also talk about the proximity model, which is the idea of a rational economic mode based on utility maximization. party loyalties are freed from their social base and thus these party identifications are formed and crystallized. Downs already put ideology at the centre of his explanation. This is a very common and shared notion. Ideal point models assume that lawmakers and bills are represented as points in a latent space. The limitations are the explanation of partisan identification, which is that the model has been criticized because it explains or does not explain too much about where partisan identification comes from except to say that it is the result of primary socialization. social determinism Voters try to maximize the usefulness of the vote, that is, they try to vote for the party that makes them more satisfied. As this is the first model that wanted to study empirically and test hypotheses on the basis of survey data, it was necessary to develop conceptual tools, in particular the political predisposition index, which focuses on three types of social affiliations that are fundamental in this perspective to explain electoral choices, namely social status, religion and place of residence. Symbolic politics says that what is important in politics are not necessarily the rationally perceived positions or the political positions of the parties but what the political symbols evoke in relation to certain issues. There are other models and economic theories of the vote, including directional theories that have a different perspective but remain within the framework of economic theories of the vote. This is called the proximity model. The idea of the directional model, and this applies to both the simple directional model and the intensity directional model, is that voters basically cannot clearly perceive the different positions of political parties or candidates on a specific issue. It also proposes a reconceptualization of the concept of partisanship in order to integrate all relevant contributions of the . There is a small bridge that is made between these two theories with Fiorina on the one hand and the Michigan model of another party that puts the concept of partisan identification at the centre and that conceives of this concept in a very different way, especially with regard to its origin. If certain conditions are present, such as good democratic functioning within the party, activists will have the opportunity to exercise "voice" and influence positions. There have been several phases of misalignment. The sociological model at the theoretical level emphasizes something important that rationalist and economic theories have largely overlooked, namely, the importance of the role of social context, i.e., voters are all in social contexts and therefore not only family context but also a whole host of other social contexts. The directional model also provides some answers to this criticism. We speak of cognitive preference between one's political preferences and the positions of the parties. There has been a lot of criticism that has allowed the idea of issue voting to develop in a rationalist context and models. What are the criteria for determining the individual usefulness of voters? Voting for a candidate from one party in one race and for the other party's candidate in another race is known as. However, he conceives the origin and function of partisan identification in a different way from what we have seen before. All of these factors and their relationships have to be taken into account, but at the centre is always the partisan attachment. In this representation, there are factors related to the cleavages, but also other factors that relate to the economic, political or social structure of a country being factors that are far removed from the electoral choice but that still exert an important effect in an indirect way the effect they have on other variables afterwards. In this approach, these voters keep their partisan identification and again in the medium or long term, they will go back on the electoral choice that is identified with the partisan identification, also called the homing tendency, which is a tendency to go back on the party with which one identifies. 0000000866 00000 n This approach emphasizes a central variable which is that of partisan identification, which is a particular political attitude towards a party. 0 Voters are more interested in political results than in political programmes, and the choice is also made from this perspective. There is the important opposition between an economic vote based on a choice, which is the idea that the voter makes a real choice based on a cost-benefit calculation, a choice that is rational in the end according to Weber's typology, while the psycho-sociological vote is rather based on a concept of loyalty that often makes the opposition between choice and loyalty. Due to the internet of behaviors (IoBe) information, user-specific recommendations can be customized in various fields such as trade, health, economy, law, and entertainment. Political Behaviour: Historical and methodological benchmarks, The structural foundations of political behaviour, The cultural basis of political behaviour, PEOPLE'S CHOICE: how the voter makes up his mind in a presidential campaign, https://doi.org/10.1177/000271624926100137, https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414094027002001, https://baripedia.org/index.php?title=Theoretical_models_of_voting_behaviour&oldid=49464, Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-SA 4.0). On that basis, voters calculate the utility income of the different parties and then they look at and evaluate the partisan differential. [14] They try to answer the question of how partisan identification is developing and how partisan identification has weakened because they look at the stability over time of partisan identification. Various explanations have been offered over the roughly 70-year history of voting behavior research, but two explanations in particular have garnered the most attention and generated the most debate in the literature on voting behavior. Contenu disponible en Franais Contenido disponible en espaol Contenuto disponibile in italiano, The distinction between the three main explanatory models of voting is often found. It is an answer that remains faithful to the postulates of Downs' theory and the proximity model. There have been attempts to address this anomaly. One of the answers within spatial theories is based on this criticism that voters are not these cognitively strong beings as the original Downs theory presupposes. Voters who vote against the party with which they identify keep their partisan identification. More specifically, the costs that the voter has to take into account according to the different parties and candidates must be evaluated, which is the partisan differential, i.e. How does partisan identification develop? This is a fairly reasonable development, as is the discounting model, whose proximity was something reasonable and which makes the model more consistent with reality. La dernire modification de cette page a t faite le 11 novembre 2020 00:26. They may rely less on their partisan loyalties, so their vote may be explained less by their social base and more by their choice among an offer that is the economic model. The second question is according to which criteria to determine the individual utility of voters. it takes a political position that evokes the idea of symbolic politics in a more salient way. McClung Lee, A. Three notions must be distinguished: a phase of political alignment (1), which is when there is a strengthening of partisan loyalties, i.e. New York: Columbia University Press, 1948. The second criterion is subjectivity, which is that voters calculate the costs and benefits of voting subjectively, so they make an assessment of the costs and benefits. So, we are going to the extremes precisely because we are trying to mobilize an electorate. So there are four main ways. There are two slightly different connotations. It is a model that is very close to data and practice and lends itself very easily to empirical testing through measures of partisan identification and different measures of socio-demographic factors among others. Comparative Political Studies, 27(2), 155189. This is the idea of collective action, since our own contribution to an election or vote changes with the number of other citizens who vote. It is a small bridge between different explanations. Misalignment creates greater electoral volatility that creates a change in the party system that can have a feedback on the process of alignment, misalignment or realignment. Applied to the electorate, this means no longer voting for one party and going to vote for another party. In the literature, spatial theories of voting are often seen as one of the main developments of the last thirty years which has been precisely the development of directional models since the proximity model dates back to the 1950s. (1949). A second possible answer is that they will vote for the candidate who belongs to the party with which they identify. 65, no. We must assess the costs of going to the polls, of gathering the information needed to make a decision, but also the value of one's own participation, since the model is also supposed to explain voter turnout. This is called retrospective voting, which means that we are not looking at what the parties said in their platforms, but rather at what the parties did before. The political position of each candidate is represented in the same space, it is the interaction between supply and demand and the voter will choose the party or candidate that is closest to the voter. That is what is called the proximity vote, that is, having a preference over a policy. Print. Some have criticized this model saying that it puts forward the one-dimensional image of the human being and politics, that is, that it is purely rational, hypercognitive in a way without taking into account sociological but also psychological elements. According to Fiorina, retrospective voting is that citizens' preferences depend not only on how close they are to the political position of a party or candidate, but also on their retrospective assessment of the performance of the ruling party or candidate. The theoretical criticism consists in saying that in this psychosocial approach or in this vision that the psychosocial model has of the role of political issues, the evaluation of these issues is determined by political attitudes and partisan identification. One must take into account the heterogeneity of the electorate and how different voters may have different motivations for choosing which party or candidate to vote for. The psycho-sociological model initiated the national election studies and created a research paradigm that remains one of the two dominant research paradigms today and ultimately contributed to the creation of electoral psychology. The economic model of the vote puts the notion of electoral choice back at the centre. 1.2 Psychology and behavior 9 1.3 Voting behavior and action 13 1.4 Strategies of explanation 14 1.5 Research questions and outline 16 2 The empirical analysis of voting action 19 2.1 Introduction 21 2.2 The Wrzburg school 21 2.3 Lazarsfeld and the empirical analysis of action 23 2.4 The Columbia approach to voting action 26 It is also often referred to as a point of indifference because there are places where the voter cannot decide. Economic theories of voting explain both voter turnout (1) and electoral choice (2). There are different types of costs that this model considers and that need to be taken into account and in particular two types of costs which are the costs of going to vote (1) but above all, there are the costs of information (2) which are the costs of obtaining this information since in this model which postulates to choose a party on the basis of an evaluation of the different propositions of information which is available, given these basic postulates, the transparency of information and therefore the costs of information are crucial. It is no longer a question of explaining "why" people participate but "how", that is, in terms of voter turnout, what choice is made and what can explain an electoral choice. The assumption is that mobilizing an electorate is done by taking clear positions and not a centrist position. In other words, the voters' political preferences on different issues, in other words, in this type of theorizing, they know very well what they want, and what is more, these positions are very fixed and present when the voter is going to have to vote. Nevertheless, both models may be more or less correct. This approach has often been criticized as a static approach since socio-economic or even socio-demographic characteristics do not change in the short term and yet the vote increasingly changes in the short term, what is called in electoral volatility, i.e. The idea is that a party is ready to lose an election in order to give itself the means to win it later by giving itself time to form an electorate. The law of curvilinear disparity takes up this distinction. The influence of friends refers to opinion leaders and circles of friends. 2, 1957, pp. the translation of personal preference into a voluntary action designed to influence public policy According to Merril and Grofman, one cannot determine whether one pure model is superior to another because there are methodological and data limitations. This identification with a party is inherited from the family emphasizing the role of primary socialization, it is reinforced over time including a reinforcement that is given by the very fact of voting for that party. At the basis of the reflection of directional models, and in particular of directional models with intensity, there is what is called symbolic politics. Moreover, retrospective voting can also be seen as a shortcut. Video transcript. There is also the economic vote, which is the role of the economy. A distinction must be made between the affective vote of the psycho-sociological model and the cognitive vote of the theories of the economic model. One important element of this model must be highlighted in relation to the others. Property qualifications. Voting is an act of altruism. There are different strategies that are put in place by voters in a conscious or unconscious way to reduce these information costs, which are all the costs associated with the fact that in order to be able to evaluate the utility income given by one party rather than another, one has to go and see, listen, hear and understand what these parties are saying. The idea of intensity can also be seen as the idea that there are certain issues, that there are certain political positions that put forward symbols and some of these symbols evoke making these two issues more visible to voters but in the sense of making voters say that this particular party is going in that direction and with a high intensity. For some, these are theories that offer reflections on the proper functioning of democracy, on presuppositions, the role of information or the role of citizens for the proper functioning of democracy and the role of parties. In summary, it can be said that in the economic model of voting, the political preferences of voters on different issues, are clearly perceived by the voters themselves which is the idea that the voter must assess his own interest, he must clearly perceive what are the political preferences of voters. The premise of prospective voting is too demanding for most voters. From what we have seen so far with regard to the next individual is subjectivity the. Freed from their social base and thus these party identifications are formed and crystallized the next is always the differential. Assume that lawmakers and bills are represented as points in a rationalist context and models or less correct are. 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